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Abstract Details

Risk Analysis Index Outperforms the Modified Frailty Index-Five Following Anterior Cervical Discectomy and Fusion
Practice, Policy, and Ethics
S12 - Practice, Policy and Ethics (1:36 PM-1:48 PM)
004
To compare the modified Frailty Index-5 (mFI-5) and Risk Analysis Index (RAI) in predicting postoperative outcomes. 
Anterior cervical spine surgery carries significant morbidity, especially in older adults. Frailty assessment may improve preoperative risk stratification beyond traditional models. 
We performed a retrospective cohort study using ACS-NSQIP data (2015–2021) of 59,674 patients undergoing anterior cervical procedures. Frailty was assessed using mFI-5 and RAI. Multivariable logistic regression adjusted for demographics and operative factors. Model performance was evaluated with AUROC and the DeLong test, with bootstrap validation. 
Thirty-day mortality was 0.13%. RAI demonstrated superior discrimination compared to mFI-5 for mortality (AUROC 0.810 vs 0.708, p=0.0003), major complications (0.692 vs 0.637, p<0.0001), and non-home discharge (0.779 vs 0.658, p<0.0001). Both indices remained significant predictors after adjustment. 

RAI for postoperative outcomes following anterior cervical spine surgery had superior predictive ability when compared with the mFI-5, with superior discrimination for mortality, major complications, and non-home discharge. These findings suggest that RAI has the promise for superior preoperative risk stratification for clinicians, potentially facilitating superior identification among high-risk patients, superior perioperative management tailoring, and superior resource allocation. Surgical planning with RAI would potentially facilitate improved patient counseling, support for shared decision-making, and potentially reduced postoperative adverse event rates among the medically complex and the aged. 

Authors/Disclosures
Bara M. Hammadeh
PRESENTER
Mr. Hammadeh has nothing to disclose.
Cameron J. Sabet, MD Mr. Sabet has nothing to disclose.
Bhav Jain, BS Mr. Jain has received personal compensation for serving as an employee of National Academy of Medicine.
Stefan Prulovic, MD Mr. Prulovic has nothing to disclose.
Weaam Masoud, MD Dr. Masoud has nothing to disclose.