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Abstract Details

Predictors of Aquaporin-4-IgG Seroreversion and its Impact on Relapse Risk in Neuromyelitis Optica Spectrum Disorder: A Retrospective Cohort Study
Multiple Sclerosis
P8 - Poster Session 8 (11:45 AM-12:45 PM)
20-010

To (1) identify clinical and treatment factors associated with AQP4-IgG seroreversion and (2) evaluate whether achieving seronegativity influences subsequent disease activity.

Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) is an antibody-mediated disease of the central nervous system characterized by severe attacks of optic neuritis and transverse myelitis. Although detection of aquaporin-4 immunoglobulin G (AQP4-IgG) underpins diagnosis, its value for monitoring disease activity and predicting outcomes remains uncertain.

We conducted a retrospective cohort study of adults with AQP4-IgG–positive NMOSD, as defined by the 2015 International Consensus Diagnostic Criteria, treated at Siriraj Hospital between May 2013 and July 2025, who had ≥2 serial AQP4-IgG measurements. Serostatus was determined using a fixed cell-based assay (positivity defined as titer ≥1:10). Primary outcomes were predictors of seroreversion and the association between seronegativity and relapse risk. Predictors were assessed with a multivariable Cox model; significance set at P<0.05.

Eighty-three patients were included (89.2% female); 35 (42.2%) achieved seroreversion. Median baseline age was similar between those who seroreverted and those who remained seropositive. In multivariable analysis, treatment with a high-efficacy therapy for ≥6 months was the strongest predictor of seroreversion (hazard ratio [HR] 4.51, 95% CI 2.07–9.84; P<0.001). A higher disability score within six months before serostatus testing was associated with a lower likelihood of seroreversion (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.62–0.93; P=0.005), as was a greater number of attacks before treatment initiation (HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.67–0.87; P<0.001). Notably, no patient experienced a clinical relapse after achieving seronegativity.

High-efficacy therapy, lower disability, and fewer prior attacks independently predicted AQP4-IgG seroreversion. These findings should be interpreted cautiously given two limitations: the retrospective design limits causal inference, and reliance on a fixed cell-based assay may affect serological validity and comparability. Larger, prospective studies are needed to confirm these associations and to evaluate AQP4-IgG seroreversion as a useful prognostic biomarker in NMOSD.

Authors/Disclosures
Ekdanai Uawithya, MD
PRESENTER
Mr. Uawithya has nothing to disclose.
Yang Mao-Draayer, MD (University of Michigan, Department of Neurology) Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $5,000-$9,999 for serving as a Consultant for Biogen Idec. Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving as a Consultant for Genzyme-Sanofi. Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving as a Consultant for Genentech. Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Scientific Advisory or Data Safety Monitoring board for Genzyme-Sanofi. Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Scientific Advisory or Data Safety Monitoring board for Novartis. Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Scientific Advisory or Data Safety Monitoring board for Horizone. Dr. Mao-Draayer has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Biogen Idec. The institution of Dr. Mao-Draayer has received research support from NIH .
Pornphan Sae-Sim, MD Dr. Sae-Sim has nothing to disclose.
Sasitorn Siritho, MD Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Scientific Advisory or Data Safety Monitoring board for Alexion. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Scientific Advisory or Data Safety Monitoring board for Roche. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Scientific Advisory or Data Safety Monitoring board for Merck. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Alexion. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Sanofi. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Eisai. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Roche. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $500-$4,999 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Zuellig Pharma. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $0-$499 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for DKSH. Dr. Siritho has received personal compensation in the range of $0-$499 for serving on a Speakers Bureau for Siam Pharmaceutical. The institution of Dr. Siritho has received research support from Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University. The institution of Dr. Siritho has received research support from The Neurological Society of Thailand. The institution of Dr. Siritho has received research support from The Royal college of Physicians of Thailand (RCPT). Dr. Siritho has received research support from The national council of women of Thailand. The institution of Dr. Siritho has received research support from The Neurological Society of Thailand.
Nutdanai Roila, MD Dr. Roila has nothing to disclose.